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<doi>/ISEC.res.2017.76</doi>
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<article-title>CALCULATION OF THE LABOR CONSUMPTION<br/>
RATE FOR SHUTTERING WORKS WHILST<br/>
CONSIDERING UNCERTAINTIES</article-title>
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<author>MARKUS KUMMER</author>

<aff>Institute of Construction Management and Economics, Graz University of Technology, Graz,<br/>
Austria</aff>


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<title>ABSTRACT</title>
<p>Calculating construction costs and times is one of the most important and demanding
tasks in construction management and economics. To arrive at a realistic calculation
base, valid data and information is constantly being sought for labor consumption rates,
output rates, productivity, material consumption, volumes in stock, number of transport
cycles, and cost and time parameters that must be estimated or calculated ex ante.
Ultimately, final cost and time parameters must be determined on the basis of such
considerations and calculations. Accurate figures must be stated or submitted at the
end of any analysis. These depend on the complexity of the building and on the
conditions prevailing at the actual work stages and rely on more or less uncertain input
data. One possible solution to this issue is to consider ranges that can deliver final
conclusions on determined values. To systematically consider ranges in input
parameters, this paper concentrates on applying probabilistic calculation methods based
on Monte Carlo simulations. Key outcomes of probabilistic calculations include
histograms that are used to directly capture the chance/risk ratio relative to a specific
(selected) parameter. This paper presents a practical example of calculating the labor
consumption rate for shuttering works to highlight the significance of the chosen
chance/risk ratio and to show how it can be integrated into the systematic decision-
making process adopted by the parties involved in the project.</p>
<p><italic>Keywords: </italic>Monte Carlo simulation, Distribution function, Productivity, Histogram.</p>
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