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<doi>/ISEC.res.2017.211</doi>
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<article-title>EVOLUTION AND APPLICATION OF COST AND<br/>
SCHEDULE RISK MANAGEMENT ON<br/>
COMPLEX PROJECTS</article-title>
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<author>KEITH R. MOLENAAR</author>

<aff>Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering, University of Colorado,<br/>
Boulder, USA</aff>


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<abstract>
<title>ABSTRACT</title>
<p>Design and construction of projects is complex endeavor that requires the coordination
of a multitude of human, physical, and natural resources. The technical design and
construction complexities are frequently outweighed by the uncertainties and risks with
the social, financial, and political aspects of the projects. To address these risks and
uncertainties, project participants have turned to a series of cost and schedule risk
management tools over the past 50 years. This paper summarizes the evolution of
probabilistic cost estimating and scheduling tools. It also provides examples of
applications on complex projects from the US Department of Energy, the US Federal
Highway Administration/Washington State Department of Transportation, the Panama
Canal Authority, and the international ITER fusion generator. The paper concludes
with a discussion of the remaining cost and schedule risk management challenges,
which inhibit project participants from achieving their project performance goals.</p>
<p><italic>Keywords: </italic>Project management, Cost estimating, Scheduling, Uncertainty.</p>
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